World Cup Odds 2026: Latest Winner Odds & Expert Predictions

The latest 2026 World Cup winner odds have Spain as the betting favourites to win the tournament in the USA, Mexico and Canada. We have analysed the best World Cup sites to bring you daily updated World Cup odds on ourights,

The 2026 FIFA World Cup, set for 11 Jun – 19 July 2026, will be the largest ever, featuring 48 teams competing across Canada, Mexico, and the United States.

World Cup 2026 Winner Odds: Latest Odds to Win Outright

Here is a look at the latest World Cup winner odds from Hollywoodbets:

*Odds correct at the time of writing (December 5, 2025) and are subject to change.

The market strongly favours traditional European and South American giants, who have historically performed best in the tournament. All 8 World Cup winners in history have been from Europe or South America.

Spain’s recent success, like becoming Euro Champions in 2024, coupled with their incredible young talent, has shortened their price significantly. This makes them the narrow favourites.

England and France remain powerful contenders, while Brazil and current champions Argentina are considered the strongest South American hopefuls.

We have analysed the [World Cup 2026 favourites] in detail in a separate section if you want to know more about the top contenders.

Best World Cup Odds for Today

We are still in the build-up phase, with the World Cup Draw only happening on 5 December 2025. The daily match odds for the tournament itself have not been released yet. The markets currently focus only on long-term futures bets like Outright Winner.

We will update this section immediately as the tournament kicks off in North America and daily match odds for the group stages become available. Keep this page bookmarked for the World Cup latest odds on every match.

Some operators, such as Hollywoodbets and Betway, still offer World Cup Qualifier odds for the third round UEFA play-offs in March 2026. More details below.

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup?

While the World Cup betting odds to win from Hollywoodbets place Spain at the top, our money is on France getting the job done after their near-miss in 2022.

Why France? It comes down to one incredible factor: Kylian Mbappé. The forward will be 27 years old when the tournament begins, slap bang in the middle of his peak years. He is already a World Cup winner (Russia 2018), a World Cup Final hat-trick scorer (Qatar 2022) and an athlete who thrives under the most intense pressure.

Surrounded by the phenomenal talent of Ousmane Dembélé (the 2025 Ballon d’Or winner), Aurélien Tchouaméni and William Saliba, France could boast a blend of experience and explosive youth that few rivals can match.

However, if we are looking for a true outsider with value, we have to look at Germany. They are priced at 12.00 on Hollywoodbets, but their young core is maturing fast. Julian Nagelsmann has an exceptional generation of attacking midfielders like Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz.

We really think Germany has the skill and experience to go far, therefore believe their odds are currently one of the high value bets worth considering.

World Cup 2026 Groups Odds

The 2026 World Cup group stage draw has concluded and here are the groups

Group A

1. Mexico (Host)
2. South Korea
3. South Africa
4. European Play-Off D

Group B

1. Canada (Host)
2. Switzerland
3. Qatar
4. European Play-Off A

Group C

* (World Cup group winner and to qualify odds to be added when market is available)

World Cup Qualifier Odds

With the World Cup group draw concluded, six qualification slots remain available. European teams will secure four slots in Round 3 of the World Cup UEFA Qualifiers in March 2026.

See the latest group winner odds for these qualifiers, courtesy of Betway, correct at the time of writing.

Path A Odds to Qualify

1. Italy (1.53) – 4x World Cup winners who missed the previous two editions.
2. Wales (4.00) – Resilient side with strong recent tournament experience.
3. Bosnia and Herzegovina (6.45) – Underdogs who have to defeat Wales.
4. Northern Ireland (16.90) – Must travel to and defeat Italy.

Path B Odds to Qualify

1. Poland (2.60) – Favoured largely due to the presence of longtime Captain Robert Lewandowski.
2. Ukraine (3.25) – Highly motivated, technically dangerous side.
3. Sweden (3.50) – Consistent, disciplined and have the home advantage against Ukraine.
4. Albania (7.00) – Outsiders who earned their spot through the Nations League.

Path C Odds to Qualify

1. Türkiye (1.90) – Hosting Romania and desperate to qualify for the World Cup for the first time since 2002.
2. Slovakia (3.00) – The main challengers, with a solid defence and recent big tournament experience (Euro 2024).
3. Kosovo (7.05) – Looking for their first-ever World Cup qualification.
4. Romania (9.05) – Has to defeat Türkiye to advance.

Path D Odds to Qualify

1. Denmark (1.61) – Organised, technically skilled squad with a FIFA ranking of 21.
2. Czechia (3.75) – Defensively compact, making them hard to beat in knockout games.
3. Republic of Ireland (6.00) – Hard-working side that must defeat Czechia to advance.
4. North Macedonia (15.00) – Perennial underdogs but can inflict upsets like eliminating Italy in the 2022 play-offs.

Other World Cup Futures Odds

Betting on the winner is only the beginning. The individual performance markets, such as the Golden Boot and MVP, offer unique betting angles. When you are assessing these markets, remember to use our World Cup betting tips to find the best possible value.

Currently there are no markets available for the following categories at this time, but here are some players to keep your eye on.

Top Scorers (Golden Boot) Odds

The Golden Boot award goes to the player who scores the most goals in the tournament. Due to the expanded 48-team format, the number of matches has increased, potentially pushing the winning goal tally higher than the historical average of seven. The key here is to bet on a striker who plays for a team expected to reach the quarter-finals or deeper, as they guarantee more playing time.

Key Contenders:

• Kylian Mbappé (France): Having scored eight goals in 2022, he is the benchmark. He takes penalties and plays for a team expected to go far, making him an almost certain favourite.
• Harry Kane (England): Kane has been prolific for both club and country and is England’s main penalty taker. Should England have a favourable group draw, Kane could rack up goals quickly.
• Erling Haaland (Norway): Haaland is one of the world’s most feared goal-scorers. If Norway manages to qualify and get a manageable group, his ability to score in bursts makes him an interesting, slightly higher-value selection.
• Lionel Messi (Argentina): While he may be 38 and his appearance at the World Cup is still in question, never underestimate the reigning World Cup champion. He takes penalties and free kicks, and his motivation for one final tournament appearance will be sky-high.

World Cup 2026 MVP (Golden Ball) Odds

The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player of the tournament. The winner almost always comes from one of the two finalist teams. This market rewards overall impact, not just goal-scoring, favouring creative midfielders and attacking playmakers.

Key Contenders:

• Lamine Yamal (Spain): At only 18, he is already viewed as a generational talent who led Spain to Euro 2024 glory. If Spain lives up to its favourite status, he is the driving force behind their attack and a strong candidate.
• Kylian Mbappé (France): As both a dominant scorer and creative force, he is often a dual threat in these markets. If he wins the Golden Boot and France reaches the final, he is highly likely to secure the Golden Ball too.
• Jude Bellingham (England): The dynamic midfielder is enjoying a blistering run of form. He is the heartbeat of a talented England side, and his all-action displays could easily earn him the award if the Three Lions go deep.
• Vinícius Júnior (Brazil): The heir apparent to Neymar, ‘Vini Jr.’ is expected to be the main source of attacking flair for a revitalised Brazil squad under Carlo Ancelotti.

Golden Gloves Odds

This award is given to the best goalkeeper of the tournament. It is primarily measured by the number of clean sheets and the quality of saves made. A solid defence is key, as is a team that expects to play seven matches.

Key Contenders:

• Alisson Becker (Brazil): A world-class keeper who is consistently one of the best in his position. Brazil’s historically cautious style of play often results in clean sheets, making him a perennial favourite.
• Jordan Pickford (England): Despite critics, Pickford has a stellar tournament record. England’s defence has been rock-solid in recent qualifiers, giving him a solid platform to accumulate clean sheets.
• Unai Simón (Spain): Spain’s tactical stability and dominance in possession mean their keeper is well-protected, which helps clean sheet numbers. As Spain are the overall favourites, their keeper is an automatic top contender.

Understanding World Cup Betting Odds and Payouts

To make smart bets, you must understand how to read the numbers. As mentioned before, the most common format for expressing World Cup betting odds in Mzansi, as shown above, is Decimal Odds (e.g., 5.50).

How to Read Decimal Odds

Decimal odds are the simplest format to understand because they represent your total return (stake + profit) for every R1 you bet.

Formula:

Total Return = Stake x Decimal Odd

Example:

• You bet R100 on France to win the World Cup at odds of 7.00.
• Your Total Return will be: R100 x 7.00 = R700.
• Your Profit is: R700 (Return) – R100 (Stake) = R600.

Another Example:

• If you bet R50 on a Italy with odds of 1.53 to win.
• Your Total Return is: R50 x 1.53 = R76.50.
• Your Profit is: R76.50 – R50 = R26.50.

Implied Probability

Decimal odds also tell you the implied probability of an event happening, as determined by the bookmaker. When you are deciding if the World Cup odds offer good value, this is something you should know

Formula:

Implied Probability = (1/Decimal Odd) x 100

Example

Spain, with odds of 4.50 has an implied probability of (1 / 4.50) x 100 = 22%.

For more details on how to use these calculations to find value bets, we once again point to you our comprehensive guide on How to Bet on World Cup.

Where to Bet on the 2026 World Cup

Choosing the right betting partner is just as important as choosing the right team. We look for sites that offer competitive world cup final odds, a wide range of markets, and excellent promotional value for the tournament.

Based on our market analysis, here are the top 10 sites for betting on the World Cup in 2026.

1. Hollywoodbets: Best for finding World Cup latest odds and betting markets
2. Betway: Best for providing instant payouts on World Cup bets.
3. Easybet: Generous bonuses and multibet win boosts for World Cup games.
4. Sportingbet: Best for Live Streaming and World Cup multis.
5. Gbet: Best for multi-leg World Cup betting insurance.
6. World Sports Betting: World Cup goalscorer insurance, featured boosts and open to user feedback.
7. Playabets: Weekly cashbacks for World Cup betting losses.
8. Yesplay: World cup bonuses and prize drops.
9. Supabet: Good for receiving 100x your original stake back.
10. Lulabet: Provides daily odds boosts for World Cup games and early cashouts.

Safe Betting

A tournament as large as the 2026 FIFA World Cup provides endless betting opportunities, which can lead to impulsive decisions and overspending. Please practice safe betting by using trusted bookmakers, licensed by the Western Cape Gambling and Racing Board (WCGRB). Only put down what you are prepared to lose. Winners know when to stop.

If needed, top bookmakers, like Hollywoodbets, offer self-exclusion tools that can be set to limit your account access for a lengthy period, or permanently. Beyond that, we recommend reaching out to the National Responsible Gambling Programme for counselling and support: 0800 006 008/076 675 0710.

Final Thoughts

The 2026 World Cup promises to be an extraordinary event, for fans and punters alike. The expansion to 48 teams will create even more upsets and unexpected results, meaning studying the world cup odds early is more critical than ever.
While the favourite status sits with Spain, we believe there is immense value in backing teams like France or even a dark horse like Germany, at their current prices.

The key to successful World Cup betting is finding the markets where your own expert knowledge and discretion offers an edge over the public’s perception. Make sure you understand the odds, choose a trusted operator and check back regularly for the latest World Cup odds on outrights and other markets.

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