Our 2026 World Cup predictions guide delivers expert betting insight for every stage of the tournament. You can expect tips from the opening match to the final.
The 2026 World Cup, hosted across the USA, Canada, and Mexico from June 11 to July 19, will feature a record 48 teams. Our expert analysis is written to help you make informed and data-driven bets.
Before placing any wagers, choose a trusted sportsbook. We’ve reviewed the best World Cup betting sites with competitive odds, fast payouts, and worthy welcome bonuses.
World Cup Predictions Today
The Inter-continental Play-off Tournament in Mexico on 26 and 30 March 2026 will decide the final two spots for the 2026 World Cup. This single-leg knockout event features six teams. The semi-finals will determine who meets the seeded sides (DR Congo and Iraq) in the final round.
Official World Cup odds are not available at the moment. The following World Cup betting tips are based on recent performances and team form.
| Time (CST) | Fixture | Stage | Betting Tip |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | New Caledonia vs Jamaica | Semi-final 1 | Jamaica to Win |
| 17:00 | Bolivia vs Suriname | Semi-final 2 | Both Teams to Score (BTTS) |
Responsible Gambling: Bet only what you can afford to lose. Gambling should remain entertaining, not stressful. For support, contact the National Responsible Gambling Programme (NRGP) at 0800 006 008 / 076 675 0710.
Jamaica vs New Caledonia: Jamaica to Win
Rationale:
Jamaica enters as the stronger side, ranked 70th globally, with solid CONCACAF qualifying form. New Caledonia, ranked 149th, faces a big step up in class. Jamaica’s higher quality, experience, and recent results strongly favour them to progress.
Technical Analysis:
Jamaica thrives on fast transitions, powered by wingers and European-based strikers like Michail Antonio. Manager Heimir Hallgrímsson employs a direct, athletic style. New Caledonia will sit deep, relying on counter-attacks and set-pieces. The gap in quality makes a Jamaican victory highly likely.
Key Stats:
- Jamaica: 1.83 goals per game scored, 0.5 conceded in CONCACAF qualifying. Clean sheet in over 50% of recent wins.
- New Caledonia: Conceded 1.6 goals per game against stronger opposition. Relies on set-piece opportunities.
- Jamaica’s superior chance creation and finishing rates make them the clear favourite.
Bolivia vs Suriname: Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
Rationale:
This semi-final pits Bolivia’s CONMEBOL experience against Suriname’s emerging CONCACAF force. Neutral venue conditions in Mexico neutralise Bolivia’s altitude advantage. Both teams have everything to play for, suggesting a high likelihood of goals.
Technical Analysis:
Bolivia relies on a disciplined, veteran squad led by Marcelo Martins Moreno. Suriname, managed by Stanley Menzo, attacks dynamically with fast European-based players but has defensive vulnerabilities. The contrasting styles in a single-leg knockout suggest goals from both sides.
Key Stats:
- Bolivia: 1.0 goals scored, 1.8 conceded per game in qualifying.
- Suriname: 1.5 goals scored, 1.0 conceded over the last six competitive matches.
- BTTS Record: Both teams to score has occurred in 4 of Bolivia’s last 6 matches and 3 of Suriname’s last 5.
Match of the Day: Bolivia vs Suriname
This Inter-continental Play-off semi-final features CONMEBOL resilience (Bolivia) versus CONCACAF ambition (Suriname). Bolivia’s veteran squad has shown grit in the tough qualifiers, but can be predictable in attack. Suriname arrives in strong form, powered by quick, European-based players.
Official 1X2 odds are not yet available. Our World Cup predictions suggest an open game, with both sides vulnerable defensively and capable of scoring. The key betting angle lies in backing a player likely to make the decisive impact.
Suriname’s forward Sheraldo Becker is expected to be the match-winner in this tight encounter. Our predictions highlight that individual brilliance could decide the outcome.
World Cup Betting Tips Today: Long-Term Markets
The 2026 World Cup will feature 48 teams for the first time, running from June 11 to July 19, 2026. The expanded format introduces 12 groups of four, with the top two teams from each group, and the eight best third-placed teams, advancing to a new Round of 32 knockout stage.
More matches (104 in total) create additional opportunities for value bets in outright markets. Most markets are not yet open, but we will share updated World Cup predictions once final squads, venues, and the group stage draw are confirmed.
Outright World Cup Winner
Betting on the winner this early is high-risk but may yield a high outcome. Early predictions focus on World Cup favourites. According to Hollywoodbets, the top five teams are:
| Team | Early Odds |
|---|---|
| Spain | 4.50 |
| England | 6.00 |
| France | 7.00 |
| Brazil | 8.00 |
| Argentina | 8.00 |
Teams with lower odds are favourites, offering lower payouts, while higher-value teams carry more risk but greater potential rewards. For example, Morocco, the only African nation to reach the World Cup semi-finals (Qatar 2022), has early odds of 100.00, ranking them 18th in winning probability.
Top Goalscorer
Betting on the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer can be a strategic option. Markets are not yet available, but our predictions will be updated once bookmakers release official odds.
World Cup Golden Ball
The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player in the tournament. Historically, the recipient is a player whose individual brilliance has carried their team deep into the competition, almost exclusively coming from a semi-finalist or finalist team.
Our predictions will be published once bookmakers release betting odds for the World Cup Golden Ball market.
Group Winner
With 12 groups of four, the seeded Pot 1 teams are the likely favourites to top their groups. These include the top contenders and highest-ranked sides, like Spain, France, Argentina, England, and Brazil, as well as the three host nations: the USA, Mexico, and Canada.
While these teams are expected to perform strongly, the true difficulty of each group won’t be clear until the official draw on December 5, 2025. Once the draw is final, we will release updated World Cup predictions for group winners and potential value bets.
How We Select Our World Cup Predictions and Betting Tips
Our World Cup predictions and betting tips are built on a rigorous, data-driven process that combines statistical analysis with value-based market insight.
Our approach includes:
- Form & Statistical Analysis: We review recent competitive form, scoring trends, and defensive records, including goals conceded and clean sheets.
- Contextual Review: Team history, current squad dynamics, player fitness, and tournament factors (venue, climate) are factored into our predictions.
- Value-Based Odds Selection: We identify bets where bookmaker odds offer favourable returns relative to the risk, focusing on value-first strategies.
- Risk Awareness: Our tips are informed estimates and not guarantees. We emphasise responsible betting and never promise outcomes.
Why Trust Afrik-Foot’s World Cup Predictions
Our World Cup predictions are grounded in expertise, analysis, and safe betting practices. We aim to provide reliable guidance to ensure you know how to bet on the World Cup.
Key credibility points:
- Expert Team: Predictions are produced by professional tipsters with years of football analysis and betting experience, and supported by statistical models.
- Deep Value Analysis: We combine quantitative data (form, stats, trends) with qualitative insights (team dynamics, injuries, managerial impact) to identify value.
- Safety and Legality: We recommend only fully licensed and legal bookmakers to protect punters and ensure secure betting.
- Transparency: We are open with risks and a focus on responsible gambling.
When Are Our World Cup Tips Posted?
Our tips are typically published at least six hours before kick-off to ensure they reflect:
- Late Team News: Allows inclusion of last-minute updates, including line-ups, injuries, or tactical changes.
- Odds Movements: Ensures recommendations are based on the latest odds, capturing optimal value before market shifts.
This approach guarantees timely, informed, and actionable World Cup predictions for every match.
What are the Best World Cup Betting Markets
Choosing the right market can improve your chances of success and maximise value. Here are the most popular and profitable options:
- Match Result: Bet on the outcome after 90 minutes. Options are Home win (1), Draw (X), or Away win (2). It is a straightforward match prediction suitable for beginners.
- Total Goals: Wager on whether the total goals scored will be over or under a set line. Suitable for matches between high-defence and high-scoring teams.
- BTTS: Bet on whether both teams will score, regardless of the final result. Works well when two attacking sides with defensive weaknesses meet.
- Handicap Betting: Apply a virtual goal advantage or disadvantage to level the playing field between a strong favourite and a weaker team.
- Double Chance: Cover two of the three possible outcomes in a single bet (e.g., Home Win or Draw). A safer alternative to match results.
- Live Betting: Wager after kick-off, with odds updating in real-time. Valuable for reacting to early goals, tactical shifts, or unexpected events during a match.
- Tournament Outrights: Long-term bets on overall tournament outcomes or specific phases. These markets offer high returns for backing your predicted winners, top scorers, or group stage leaders before the competition begins.
World Cup Statistics You Need to Know
Successful World Cup predictions require more than backing favourites. Understanding historical trends and key statistics helps identify reliable markets.
The 2026 World Cup’s expanded format will increase the number of matches from 64 to 104. With more games, historical data analysis becomes more essential for informed betting decisions.
World Cup Betting Trends
The table below summarises key match and goal markets across the last four World Cups (64 matches each). Percentages are based on total matches played:
| Designated Home Wins |
26 (40.6%) |
28 (43.8%) |
27 (42.2%) |
26 (40.6%) |
107 (41.8%) |
| Designated Away Wins |
22 (34.4%) |
20 (31.2%) |
21 (32.8%) |
23 (35.9%) |
86 (33.6%) |
| Over 1.5 Goals |
44 (68.8%) |
52 (81.3%) |
50 (78.1%) |
51 (79.7%) |
197 (77.0%) |
| Over 2.5 Goals |
27 (42.2%) |
37 (57.8%) |
31 (48.4%) |
29 (45.3%) |
124 (48.4%) |
| Under 1.5 Goals |
20 (31.2%) |
12 (18.7%) |
14 (21.9%) |
13 (20.3%) |
59 (23.0%) |
| Under 2.5 Goals |
37 (57.8%) |
27 (42.2%) |
33 (51.6%) |
35 (54.7%) |
132 (51.6%) |
| Goals Per Game |
2.23 |
2.67 |
2.64 |
2.69 |
2.56 (Average) |
| Clean Sheets (≥1 team) |
24 (37.5%) |
25 (39.1%) |
28 (43.8%) |
23 (35.9%) |
100 (39.1%) |
Note: “Designated Home/Away” reflects fixture listings. World Cup matches are played at neutral venues.
World Cup Correct Score Trends
Betting on correct scores is challenging but highly profitable. Historically, World Cup knockout matches are tight and low-scoring. The five most frequent scorelines:
- 1-0: Most common overall.
- 2-1: Second most frequent, higher total goals.
- 1-1: Most common draw, frequent in knockout phases.
- 2-0: Favoured margin for group-stage favourites.
- 0-0: Frequent in early group matches or tight knockout games.
World Cup Corner Stats
Corners are a valuable market, especially in live betting. Average corners per match have remained consistent over the last four tournaments:
| World Cup | Total Corners (64 Matches) | Average per Game |
|---|---|---|
| 2010 | 592 | 9.25 |
| 2014 | 608 | 9.50 |
| 2018 | 600 | 9.38 |
| 2022 | 570 | 8.91 |
These stats help predict corner-heavy matches, corner markets, and live betting opportunities.
Last 10 World Cup Winners
The World Cup consistently delivers historic moments and unforgettable performances. Argentina are the current champions, having won their third title in 2022. Brazil remains the most successful nation with five titles.
Winners of the last 10 World Cups:
- 2022: Argentina (Qatar)
- 2018: France (Russia)
- 2014: Germany (Brazil)
- 2010: Spain (South Africa)
- 2006: Italy (Germany)
- 2002: Brazil (South Korea & Japan)
- 1998: France (France)
- 1994: Brazil (United States)
- 1990: West Germany (Italy)
- 1986: Argentina (Mexico)
Last 10 World Cup Top Scorers
The Golden Boot is typically won by high-scoring players on strong teams.
| Year | Top Scorer | Country | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kylian Mbappé | France | 8 |
| 2018 | Harry Kane | England | 6 |
| 2014 | James Rodriguez | Colombia | 6 |
| 2010 | Thomas Müller | Germany | 5 |
| 2006 | Miroslav Klose | Germany | 5 |
| 2002 | Ronaldo | Brazil | 8 |
| 1998 | Davor Šuker | Croatia | 6 |
| 1994 | Oleg Salenko / Hristo Stoichkov | Russia / Bulgaria | 6 |
| 1990 | Salvatore Schillaci | Italy | 6 |
| 1986 | Gary Lineker | England | 6 |
Last 5 World Cup Golden Ball Winners
The Golden Ball is awarded to the tournament’s best player. Notably, players from non-winning sides can also win.
- 2022: Lionel Messi (Argentina)
- 2018: Luka Modrić (Croatia)
- 2014: Lionel Messi (Argentina)
- 2010: Diego Forlán (Uruguay)
- 2006: Zinedine Zidane (France)
Responsible Betting
Even the most informed World Cup predictions cannot guarantee outcomes. Always bet within your means and view wagering as entertainment.
If you need support, contact the National Responsible Gambling Programme (NRGP) at 0800 006 008 / 076 675 0710.
Final Thoughts on Our 2026 World Cup Predictions
Our 2026 World Cup predictions are intended to provide guidance, not certainty. They are based on analysis, recent form, historical trends, and competitive performance. Please keep in mind that football is unpredictable.
The 2026 World Cup promises to be the largest and most thrilling yet. Use our tips to inform your betting strategy, but trust your own judgement and enjoy the tournament.
For more expert insight, explore our free daily football betting tips and predictions for other major tournaments, including AFCON 2025 (Africa Cup of Nations).
Which team has the most World Cup wins?
Brazil holds the record with five World Cup titles (1958, 1962, 1970, 1994, 2002). They remain one of the top contenders in any World Cup predictions.
Are there always World Cup upsets?
Yes. Upsets are a hallmark of the World Cup, particularly in the group stage. Recent examples include Saudi Arabia defeating Argentina (2022) and South Korea eliminating Germany (2018).
When should I place my long-term World Cup predictions?
For long-term bets like outright winner or top goalscorer, placing wagers early before the group draw can offer better odds due to bookmaker uncertainty. However, waiting until the tournament begins lets you factor in recent form, team news, and injuries.