Manchester City host Atletico Madrid at the Seoul World Cup Stadium in South Korea for the third match of their pre-season Asia tour, and the prediction favours the English side in the Coupang Play Series.
The match takes place on Sunday, August 9, 2026, with kick-off at 12:00 (UK time).
Under new manager Enzo Maresca, City have already shown progress in two matches in Asia, and the squad-building context makes this friendly relevant for readers seeking daily predictions even outside the official season.
City go into their third match in Asia with a core of new signings already showing cohesion, while Atletico face severe absences caused by the 2026 World Cup and squad turnover.
Match Analysis: Maresca Builds While Simeone Improvises
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Manchester City’s pre-season is the first under Enzo Maresca, who took over after Pep Guardiola’s departure at the end of the 2025-26 season.
The squad has undergone a deep overhaul: Donnarumma, Reijnders, Semenyo, Ait Nouri, Cherki and Elliot Anderson arrived, while Bernardo Silva, John Stones and Nathan Ake left the club as their contracts expired.
In the tour’s first two friendlies, City drew 1-1 with Inter in Hong Kong (losing on penalties) and beat the K-League All Stars 3-1 in Seoul, with goals from Ait Nouri, Reijnders and Mubama.
Young forward Mubama, who is filling Haaland’s role during pre-season, has taken up the central attacking position and has shown a keen eye for goal on this tour.
Haaland was given an extended rest after playing at the World Cup for Norway, and Rodri is recovering from back surgery performed on July 28, which rules out two undisputed starters.
On Atletico’s side, Diego Simeone faces an even more complicated picture of absences.
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Spain won the 2026 World Cup with four players from the Atletico squad (Marcos Llorente, Alex Baena, Marc Pubill and Alejandro Grimaldo), while runners-up Argentina included Juan Musso, Nahuel Molina, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone and Thiago Almada.
The post-World Cup rest rule requires a minimum of 21 days off, meaning none of these players will be available for this friendly.
In the only pre-season match played so far outside Spain, Atletico lost 2-1 to Manchester United in Stockholm, fielding a side full of youngsters and squad players.
The 4-1 thrashing of Getafe at home gave some rhythm to their preparation, but the level of opposition was considerably lower than what City will offer.
Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid Head-to-Head Record
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The two sides have met just three times in history, with one win each and one draw.
The most recent meeting came at this very same Seoul World Cup Stadium in July 2023, when Atletico won 2-1 in a friendly, with goals from Memphis Depay and Yannick Carrasco.
The other two meetings came in the 2021-22 Champions League quarter-final: City won the first leg at home 1-0, and the second finished 0-0 in Madrid, sending the English side through on aggregate.
The overall record is even, but the circumstances of those matches differ radically from the current context of a pre-season friendly with depleted squads.
Team News: Manchester City and Atletico Madrid
Manchester City
Absences: Erling Haaland (resting after the World Cup with Norway) and Rodri (back surgery on July 28, out of the Asia tour).
Left out: Jack Grealish and Kalvin Phillips were left out of the tour, with departures from the club expected.
Manchester City predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Donnarumma; Lewis, Khusanov, Dias, Gvardiol; Reijnders, Kovacic; Semenyo, Foden, Ait Nouri; Mubama.
Manager: Enzo Maresca.
Atletico Madrid
Absences: Marcos Llorente, Alex Baena, Marc Pubill and Alejandro Grimaldo (Spain, World Cup winners, mandatory rest). Juan Musso,, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone. (Argentina, runners-up, mandatory rest).
Doubtful: Kang-In Lee (South Korea at the World Cup, availability uncertain due to the rest period, despite playing at home).
Key departure: Antoine Griezmann left the club for MLS side Orlando City on a free transfer, after scoring 211 goals for Atletico, a club record.
Atletico Madrid predicted lineup (4-4-2): Oblak; Dominguez, Le Normand, Hancko, Ruggeri; Martin, Vargas, Koke, Ademola Lookman; Castillo, Ortiz.
Manager: Diego Simeone.
Player Spotlight: Reijnders and Lookman
The Managers: Maresca’s Debut, Simeone’s Rebuild
Enzo Maresca
Appointed on June 29, 2026 to succeed Guardiola, Maresca inherited a squad that lost key figures (Bernardo Silva, Stones, Ake) but received heavy investment in replacements.
His task in Asia is to speed up the integration of seven or eight new signings, and the first two matches showed positive signs in the Reijnders-Kovacic axis and the mobility of the attacking trio.
Diego Simeone
Simeone holds a 61 per cent win rate across 532 games in charge of Atletico and begins 2026-27 rebuilding the attack after losing Griezmann, with Alvarez publicly requesting to leave.
The signings of Lookman, Hjulmand and Baena add depth in midfield, but how well these players adapt to the Argentine’s system will be tested gradually throughout pre-season.
Tactical Analysis: Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid
Maresca is expected to keep the 4-2-3-1 he used against the K-League All Stars, with Reijnders and Kovacic forming the double pivot and Foden playing as the attacking midfielder through the middle.
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The main tactical battle will be down City’s left flank, where Ait Nouri advances frequently, against an Atletico right-back position likely to be filled by Dominguez, a young player with less experience in duels against pacey attackers.
On Atletico’s side, Simeone’s traditional 4-4-2 will require Lookman, the Super Eagles forward, and Martin to cover defensive ground out wide, limiting the space for counter-attacks that would normally be exploited by Alvarez or Griezmann.
With Koke organising things in midfield and Oblak in goal providing stability, Atletico have solidity through the middle, but the Castillo-Ortiz forward pairing is made up of young players with no track record in matches of this magnitude.
Super Eagles attacker Lookman is expected to be a key player in the attack for Atletico Madrid now that Griezmann has left, and he will be looking to produce some brilliance for this game and even the entire season.
Manchester City vs. Atletico Madrid Score Prediction
An analysis of the factors in play suggests that City, with greater cohesion and a more advanced pre-season, should control this match and convert the chances created by the technical superiority of their new midfield.
- Mubama scored in both friendlies on City’s Asia tour (against Inter and the K-League All Stars)
- Alvarez (20 goals in 2025-26) is on post-World Cup rest and Griezmann (13 goals) left for Orlando City, leaving Atletico’s attack without their two top scorers
- City finished 2025-26 as Premier League runners-up and FA Cup and Carabao Cup winners
- Atletico finished 2025-26 in 4th place in La Liga, scoring 62 and conceding 44 goals in 38 matches
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